Fuel prices to decline but Cedi fall will water down impact – IES

A decline in prices of petroleum products on the international market will further drive down prices of petrol and diesel on the local market beginning next week, the Institute for Energy Security (IES) has projected.

The IES projected that the Cedi’s depreciation would, however, limit the rate of reduction to 10 percent for petrol and 5 percent for diesel, whiles the price of a kilogram of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) would stabilise.

Petrol is currently trading at a national average of GH¢11.30, representing a 0.17 percent fall in the last pricing window.

Diesel also shed about 2.85 percent from an earlier national average price of GH¢14.05 per litre to a current average price of GH¢13.65 per litre at the pumps.

In an interview with the Ghana News Agency, Mr Fritz Moses, Research Analyst, IES, said consumers would see prices reduce at the pumps from Monday, August 1, 2022.

“Although we are seeing a decline in prices on the international market, the reduction in prices locally will not be that much because of the depreciation of the cedi,” he said.

In its review of the last pricing window (July 16 to July 31 2022), the IES found that in the past month, oil prices had decreased from above $111 per barrel due to market anxiety caused by recession fears, settling as low as $99.10 per barrel.

The Institute said the prices of petrol on the international market also fell by 14.80 percent in the window under review, while LPG and diesel dropped by 0.59 per cent and 8.15 percent respectively.

It said data monitored by the IES Economic Desk from the foreign exchange (Forex) market over the last two weeks showed that the Cedi depreciated by 2.20 per cent from the previous rate of GH¢8.17 to the current rate of GH¢8.35 to the US Dollar.

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